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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
 

Cray Wanderers
1 - 1
Wingate & Finchley

FT(HT: 0-0)
Obi (90+3' pen.)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Cray Wanderers and Wingate & Finchley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cray Wanderers

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Last Game: Cray Wanderers 8-0 Larkfield & New Hythe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Wingate & Finchley

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Last Game: Thame 0-4 Wingate & Finchley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wingate & Finchley win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Cray Wanderers had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wingate & Finchley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.54%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Cray Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Cray WanderersDrawWingate & Finchley
37.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.4% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)38.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.14% (0.045000000000002 0.05)37.85% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)60.11% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Cray Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Wingate & Finchley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.036999999999992 0.04)19.89% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (0.061999999999998 0.06)52.01% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cray Wanderers 37.8%
    Wingate & Finchley 38.8%
    Draw 23.39%
Cray WanderersDrawWingate & Finchley
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 37.8%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 38.8%