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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
ASM Stadium

Thame
0 - 4
Wingate & Finchley

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Thame and Wingate & Finchley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thame

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Last Game: Thame 5-0 Beaconsfield Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Wingate & Finchley

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Last Game: Wingate & Finchley 2-2 Aldershot
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wingate & Finchley win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Thame had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wingate & Finchley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.98%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Thame win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wingate & Finchley would win this match.

Result
ThameDrawWingate & Finchley
31.09% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)21.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.94% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 67.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.46% (-0.012 -0.01)32.54% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.81% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.19% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Thame Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65%21.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69%54.31%
Wingate & Finchley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)14.49% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)42.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Thame 31.09%
    Wingate & Finchley 46.94%
    Draw 21.96%
ThameDrawWingate & Finchley
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 31.09%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-2 @ 6.88%
0-0 @ 3.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 2.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.94%

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