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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alwyns Lane Football Ground

Chertsey Town
3 - 2
Raynes Park Vale

Mazzone (10'), Duffy (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Chertsey Town and Raynes Park Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chertsey Town

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Raynes Park Vale

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Last Game: Bedfont Sports 2-3 Raynes Park Vale
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chertsey Town win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Raynes Park Vale had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chertsey Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Raynes Park Vale win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chertsey Town would win this match.

Result
Chertsey TownDrawRaynes Park Vale
52.5% (0.085999999999999 0.09)20.99% (-0.032 -0.03)26.5% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 67.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.03% (0.091999999999999 0.09)30.96% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.65% (0.11 0.11)52.34% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Chertsey Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (0.057000000000002 0.06)12.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16% (0.122 0.12)37.83% (-0.124 -0.12)
Raynes Park Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.3% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)57.24% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chertsey Town 52.5%
    Raynes Park Vale 26.5%
    Draw 20.99%
Chertsey TownDrawRaynes Park Vale
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 5.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.68% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 52.5%
1-1 @ 8.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.27% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.99%
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.5%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Chertsey Town
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Bedfont Sports 2-3 Raynes Park Vale