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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Lane

Bourne Town
0 - 1
Aylestone Park

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Bourne Town and Aylestone Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bourne Town

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Aylestone Park

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aylestone Park win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Bourne Town had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aylestone Park win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 2-3 (5.33%). The likeliest Bourne Town win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aylestone Park would win this match.

Result
Bourne TownDrawAylestone Park
26.57% (0.061 0.06)19.72% (-0.026 -0.03)53.71% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 72.4% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.45% (0.187 0.19)24.55% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.67% (0.248 0.25)44.33% (-0.247 -0.25)
Bourne Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.136 0.14)19.8% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.22300000000001 0.22)51.86% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Aylestone Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27% (0.054000000000002 0.05)9.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.61% (0.124 0.12)32.39% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bourne Town 26.57%
    Aylestone Park 53.71%
    Draw 19.72%
Bourne TownDrawAylestone Park
2-1 @ 5.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 7.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 5.33% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 3.1% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.68% (0.017 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 53.71%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Bourne Town