Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aylestone Park win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Bourne Town had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aylestone Park win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 2-3 (5.33%). The likeliest Bourne Town win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aylestone Park would win this match.