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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Christchurch Meadow

Belper Town
2 - 2
Bromsgrove Sporting

FT(HT: 0-0)
Robinson (90+8' pen.)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Belper Town and Bromsgrove Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belper Town

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Last Game: Belper Town 3-1 Lutterworth Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Bromsgrove Sporting

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Last Game: Bromsgrove Sporting 0-1 Solihull
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belper Town win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Bromsgrove Sporting had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belper Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Bromsgrove Sporting win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Belper TownDrawBromsgrove Sporting
38.22% (-0.118 -0.12)24.1% (0.016000000000002 0.02)37.68% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.11% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.67% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)41.33% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.27% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)63.73% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Belper Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)21.69% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (-0.146 -0.15)54.84% (0.145 0.14)
Bromsgrove Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.013999999999996 0.01)21.96% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.020000000000003 0.02)55.25% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Belper Town 38.23%
    Bromsgrove Sporting 37.68%
    Draw 24.09%
Belper TownDrawBromsgrove Sporting
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.28% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.23%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.68%

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