Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basildon United win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Hadley had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basildon United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.48%) and 1-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Hadley win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Basildon United in this match.