FA Cup
Ashington AFC vs Thornaby - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashington AFC win with a probability of 58.75%. A win for Thornaby had a probability of 21.32% and a draw had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ashington AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Thornaby win was 1-2 (4.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result
Ashington AFC
58.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
19.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Thornaby
21.32%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
57.61%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
82.74%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
17.26%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 2.5
62.87%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
37.13%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
42.02%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 3.5
57.98%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 4.5
28.67%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 4.5
71.33%
▼
(-0.19)
First Half Winner
Ashington AFC
34.66%
Draw
47.41%
▼
(-0.03)
Thornaby
17.93%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Ashington AFC
57.46%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
4.9%
▼
(-0.01)
Thornaby
37.64%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
47.82%
▼
(-0.08)
Equal 8
11.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
40.74%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 9
37.02%
▼
(-0.06)
Equal 9
10.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
52.18%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 10.5
27.59%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 10.5
72.41%
▲
(+0.05)
Ashington AFC Goals
Over 1.5
59.45%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
40.55%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
35.34%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
64.66%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
18.35%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
81.65%
▼
(-0.12)
Thornaby Goals
Over 0.5
54.89%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
45.11%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
26.86%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
73.14%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
9.93%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
90.07%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
3.46%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
96.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Ashington AFC
58.76%
Draw
19.93%
Thornaby
21.32%
Ashington AFC
2-1
@
8.76%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.06%
3-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 18.26% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 58.76%
2-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.06%
3-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 18.26% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 58.76%
Draw
1-1
@
8.63%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 19.93%
2-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 19.93%
Thornaby
1-2
@
4.93%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.5%
0-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 4.5%
0-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 21.32%