FA Cup
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm

Ashington AFC vs Thornaby - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ashington AFC

All competitions

Thornaby

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ashington AFC win with a probability of 58.74%. A win for Thornaby has a probability of 21.29% and a draw has a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ashington AFC win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Thornaby win is 1-2 (4.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.65%).

Result

Ashington AFC 58.74% (+0.03)
Draw 19.92% (-0.01)
Thornaby 21.29% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.58% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.64% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17.36% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.72% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.28% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 41.84% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 58.16% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 28.49% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 71.51% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Ashington AFC 34.66% (+0.01)
Draw 47.43% (-0.01)
Thornaby 17.91%

Team To Score First

Ashington AFC 57.48%
No Goal 4.91%
Thornaby 37.61%

Corners

Over 8 47.9%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 40.66%
Over 9 37.08%
Equal 9 10.82%
Under 9 52.1%
Over 10.5 27.64%
Under 10.5 72.36%

Ashington AFC Goals

Over 1.5 59.35% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 40.65% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 35.21% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 64.79% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 18.23% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 81.77% (-0.02)

Thornaby Goals

Over 0.5 54.87% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.13% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.79%
Under 1.5 73.21%
Over 2.5 9.85%
Under 2.5 90.15%
Over 3.5 3.42%
Under 3.5 96.58%

Score analysis

Ashington AFC 58.75%
Draw 19.92%
Thornaby 21.29%
Ashington AFC
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 8.06%
1-0 @ 7.91% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.15% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.06%
3-2 @ 3.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 18.15% (+0.01)
Total : 58.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 5.15%
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 19.92%
Thornaby
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.5%
0-2 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 21.29%