FA Cup
Sep 6, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • 72' goal
  • goal 90'+6'

Ascot United vs Pagham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascot United

All competitions

Pagham

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascot United win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Pagham had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ascot United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.59%) and 1-0 (4.68%). The likeliest Pagham win was 1-2 (6.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Ascot United 47.27% ▲ (+0.46)
Draw 19.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Pagham 33.65% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.8% ▼ (-0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.18% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 11.82% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 72.07% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 2.5 27.93% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 52.73% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 3.5 47.22% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 4.5 37.46% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 4.5 62.54% ▲ (+0.51)

First Half Winner

Ascot United 32.52%
Draw 33.71%
Pagham 33.77%

Team To Score First

Ascot United 48.61% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 2.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Pagham 48.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.17%
Equal 8 11.03%
Under 8 34.8%
Over 9 43.28%
Equal 9 10.89%
Under 9 45.83%
Over 10.5 33.34%
Under 10.5 66.66%

Ascot United Goals

Over 1.5 55.15% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 44.85% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 33.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 66.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 17.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 82.02% ▲ (+0.04)

Pagham Goals

Over 0.5 66.82% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 33.18% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 1.5 42.35% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 1.5 57.65% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 2.5 21.73% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 78.27% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 9.99% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 90.01% ▲ (+0.36)

Score analysis

Ascot United 47.27%
Draw 19.09%
Pagham 33.66%
Ascot United
2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 17.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 47.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 19.09%
Pagham
1-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.32)
Total : 33.66%