FA Cup
Erith Town vs Pagham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Erith Town
Pagham
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erith Town win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Pagham had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erith Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Pagham win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Erith Town would win this match.
Result
Erith Town
56.37%
▲
(+0.79)
Draw
20.41%
▲
(+0.06)
Pagham
23.21%
▼
(-0.84)
Both Teams to Score:
65.65%
▼
(-1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.41%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 2.5
31.59%
▲
(+1.27)
Over 3.5
46.91%
▼
(-1.51)
Under 3.5
53.08%
▲
(+1.51)
Over 4.5
27.96%
▼
(-1.34)
Under 4.5
72.03%
▲
(+1.34)
Erith Town Goals
Over 0.5
88.68%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
11.32%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
64.02%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
35.97%
▲
(+0.43)
Pagham Goals
Over 0.5
74.02%
▼
(-1.34)
Under 0.5
25.97%
▲
(+1.34)
Over 1.5
39.01%
▼
(-1.84)
Under 1.5
60.99%
▲
(+1.84)
Score analysis
Erith Town
56.37%
Draw
20.41%
Pagham
23.22%
Erith Town
2-1
@
9.41%
▲
(+0.15)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.39)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 56.37%
2-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.39)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 56.37%
Draw
1-1
@
8.63%
▲
(+0.21)
2-2 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.20)
3-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.41%
2-2 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.20)
3-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.41%
Pagham
1-2
@
5.82%
▼
(-0.09)
0-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 23.22%