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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Amlin Stadium

Erith Town
6 - 2
Pagham

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Erith Town and Pagham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Erith Town

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Pagham

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erith Town win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Pagham had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Erith Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Pagham win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Erith Town would win this match.

Result
Erith TownDrawPagham
56.37% (0.78 0.78)20.41% (0.056000000000001 0.06)23.21% (-0.84 -0.84)
Both teams to score 65.65% (-1.334 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.41% (-1.265 -1.27)31.59% (1.264 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.91% (-1.504 -1.5)53.08% (1.501 1.5)
Erith Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.68% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)11.32% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.02% (-0.431 -0.43)35.97% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Pagham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-1.336 -1.34)25.97% (1.334 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-1.835 -1.84)60.99% (1.832 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Erith Town 56.37%
    Pagham 23.22%
    Draw 20.41%
Erith TownDrawPagham
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.148 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.368 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.386 0.39)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.61% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.51% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.036 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 56.37%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.204 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.41%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 23.22%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Erith Town
rhs 2.0


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