Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eyupspor win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Iğdır FK had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eyupspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Iğdır FK win was 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.