AEK Athens
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
OPAP Arena

AEK Athens
1 - 0
Noah

Silva (90+2' og.)
Ljubicic (15'), Pilios (24'), Szymanski (45'), Callens (53'), Vida (60'), Rota (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferreira (10'), Gregorio (52'), Avanesyan (71'), Avanesyan (78'), Cinari (90+7'), Cancarevic (90+13'), Thorarinsson (90+7')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between AEK Athens and FC Noah.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Noah 3-1 AEK Athens
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Noah 3-1 AEK Athens
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for FC Noah had a probability of 9.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a FC Noah win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawFC Noah
74.65% (0.028999999999996 0.03)15.78% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)9.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (0.031000000000006 0.03)37.42% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (0.032999999999994 0.03)59.64% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.48% (0.016000000000005 0.02)8.52% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.5% (0.034000000000006 0.03)29.5% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
FC Noah Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)46.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.86% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)82.14% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 74.64%
    FC Noah 9.58%
    Draw 15.78%
AEK AthensDrawFC Noah
2-0 @ 12.02%
3-0 @ 9.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 6.08% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.29% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 74.64%
1-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 15.78%
0-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 9.58%

How you voted: AEK Athens vs Noah

AEK Athens
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
FC Noah
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2024 5pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Noah
3-1
AEK Athens
Pinson (34'), Cancarevic (67'), Gregorio (90+8')
Gambos (35'), Gambos (53'), Ljubicic (58'), Sangare (79')
Garcia (22')
Santos (58'), Gregorio (83'), Koita (83')
rhs 2.0


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