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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.83%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%).
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
23.9% | 20.15% | 55.95% |
Both teams to score 67.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.53% | 29.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.45% | 50.55% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% | 24.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.36% | 58.64% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.25% | 10.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.27% | 34.73% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 5.83% 1-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.75% 2-0 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 2.61% 3-3 @ 2.28% Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 1-3 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 6.49% 0-1 @ 5.82% 2-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 4.82% 1-4 @ 3.81% 2-4 @ 2.7% 0-4 @ 2.69% 1-5 @ 1.7% 3-4 @ 1.27% 2-5 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.39% Total : 55.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |