Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
