Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Parkstad Limburg Stadion
De Graafschap

Roda JC
1 - 3
De Graafschap

Marzo (82')
Marzo (66'), Luijckx (78')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Seuntjens (5'), Konings (27'), Lieftink (45+1')
Dekker (35')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Roda JC and De Graafschap.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
Roda JCDrawDe Graafschap
28.75%21.75%49.5%
Both teams to score 66.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08%32.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.37%54.62%
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09%22.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34%56.65%
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21%13.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.89%41.1%
Score Analysis
    Roda JC 28.75%
    De Graafschap 49.5%
    Draw 21.75%
Roda JCDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 6.8%
1-0 @ 4.65%
2-0 @ 3.43%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.75%
1-1 @ 9.22%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.16%
3-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-1 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 6.04%
2-3 @ 4.45%
0-3 @ 4.09%
1-4 @ 2.99%
2-4 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 2.03%
1-5 @ 1.19%
3-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.5%