Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
