Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.