Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 57.94%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 21.07% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong Ajax in this match.