Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
