Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.