Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.