Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Sigma Olomouc had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Sigma Olomouc win was 1-2 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.