Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de la Vallee du Cher

Tours
3 - 0
Cesson

Randazzo (2'), Badirou (31'), Abdallah (87')
M (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

R (44'), Pothet (68')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Tours and Cesson.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tours

All competitions
Last Game: Montagnarde 1-1 Tours (0-1 pen.)
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Cesson

All competitions
Last Game: Cesson 2-2 TA Rennes (1-0 pen.)
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tours win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Cesson had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tours win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Cesson win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tours would win this match.

Result
ToursDrawCesson
46.06% (1.024 1.02)22.94% (-0.25 -0.25)31% (-0.768 -0.77)
Both teams to score 63.51% (0.523 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59% (0.853 0.85)37.41% (-0.848 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.37% (0.911 0.91)59.63% (-0.906 -0.91)
Tours Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.73099999999999 0.73)16.67% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47% (1.287 1.29)46.53% (-1.281 -1.28)
Cesson Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)23.78% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)57.94% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Tours 46.06%
    Cesson 31%
    Draw 22.94%
ToursDrawCesson
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.36% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.162 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.112 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.09 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 46.06%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.245 -0.25)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31%