Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macon win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Guereins Genouilleux had a probability of 12.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-3 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Guereins Genouilleux win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macon would win this match.