Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Patronato

Almada (51' pen.)
Amor (66'), Orellano (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arias (52'), Gissi (82'), Lemos (90')

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Velez Sarsfield and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Patronato
54.45%	25.23%	20.31%

Both teams to score 45.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.99%

56.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9%

77.1%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42%

20.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.89%

53.11%

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.51%

42.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.14%

78.86%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 54.44%

Patronato 20.31%

Draw 25.23%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Patronato
1-0 @ 13.82% 2-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 4.93% 4-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.44%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.48% 1-2 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.14% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.06% Total : 20.31%