Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.