Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trem win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Fluminense PI had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trem win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Fluminense PI win was 0-1 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.