Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galvez win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Guaporé had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galvez win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Guaporé win was 0-1 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.