Copa do Brasil
Feb 18, 2026 11.30pm
Estádio Luis Saraiva Vieira

Ivinhema vs Independente AP - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivinhema

Independente AP

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independente AP win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw has a probability of 25.39% and a win for Ivinhema has a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independente AP win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.61%) , while for a Ivinhema win it is 1-0 (7.03%).

Result

Ivinhema 20.86% (+1.34)
Draw 25.39% (-0.08)
Independente AP 53.75% (-1.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.52% (+0.42)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.54% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 30.46% (+1.09)
Over 2.5 44.04% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 55.96% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 23.58% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 76.42% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 14.3% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 85.7% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Ivinhema 22.44% (+5.43)
Draw 41.84% (-4.56)
Independente AP 35.72% (-0.88)

Team To Score First

Ivinhema 33.32% (+4.27)
No Goal 9.66% (+0.09)
Independente AP 57.02% (-4.35)

Corners

Over 8 53.24% (-0.31)
Equal 8 11.14% (-0.04)
Under 8 35.63% (+0.36)
Over 9 42.27% (-0.24)
Equal 9 10.97% (-0.07)
Under 9 46.76% (+0.31)
Over 10.5 32.29% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 67.71% (+0.17)

Ivinhema Goals

Over 1.5 20.1% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 79.9% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 5.97% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 94.03% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 1.44% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 98.56% (-0.15)

Independente AP Goals

Over 0.5 77.28% (-1.24)
Under 0.5 22.72% (+1.24)
Over 1.5 45.48% (-1.86)
Under 1.5 54.52% (+1.86)
Over 2.5 21.29% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 78.71% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 8.97% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 91.03% (+0.36)

Score analysis

Ivinhema 20.85%
Draw 25.4%
Independente AP 53.76%
Ivinhema
1-0 @ 7.03% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 4.86% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.38% (+0.41)
3-1 @ 1.55% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.37% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.43% (+0.15)
Total : 20.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.66% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 25.4%
Independente AP
0-1 @ 13.78% (+0.67)
0-2 @ 10.49% (-0.57)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-1.00)
0-3 @ 5.79% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.13)
Other @ 8.96% (-0.35)
Total : 53.76%

Form Data