Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino PA win with a probability of 43.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.26% and a win for Primavera MG had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino PA win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%) , while for a Primavera MG win it was 1-0 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.