Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Betim win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.93% and a win for Piauí had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Betim win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%) , while for a Piauí win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.