Copa do Brasil
Feb 18, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT
  • 37' yellowcard
  • Breno Cézar 37' yellowcard
  • Breno Cézar Valério Gonzaga 40' yellowcard
  • Kauan Jesus 40' yellowcard
  • 40' yellowcard
  • Breno Eduardo Liborge 46' yellowcard
  • Pedro Lima 46' yellowcard
  • Cesinha 63' yellowcard
  • Breno Eduardo Liborge 90' goal
  • Cesinha 90' goal
  • Luan Rodrigues Azambuja 90'+7' goal
  • Luan Rodrigues 90'+7' goal
  • goal Igor 31'
  • goal José Igor Nunes Lima 32'
  • yellowcard Ian Augusto de Almeida Ribeiro 46'
  • yellowcard Ian Augusto 46'
  • yellowcard Luiz 61'
  • yellowcard Luiz Fernando Xavier Silveira Bispo 63'
  • yellowcard Pedro Vitor 74'
  • yellowcard David Lustosa de Oliveira 74'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard Wesllen José Sousa Martins 84'

Porto BA vs Serra Branca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto BA

Serra Branca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto BA win with a probability of 42.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.84% and a win for Serra Branca had a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto BA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.51%) , while for a Serra Branca win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Porto BA 42.61% (+1.04)
Draw 29.84% (-0.18)
Serra Branca 27.55% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.58% (-1.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.54% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 34.46% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 40.09% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 59.91% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 19.17% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 80.83% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 9.88% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 90.12% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Porto BA 29.17% (+1.22)
Draw 47.47% (+0.01)
Serra Branca 23.35% (-1.23)

Team To Score First

Porto BA 48.89% (+2.64)
No Goal 11.47% (+0.09)
Serra Branca 39.64% (-2.72)

Corners

Over 8 57.45% (+4.07)
Equal 8 11.24% (+0.15)
Under 8 31.31% (-4.20)
Over 9 46.04% (+3.61)
Equal 9 11.42% (+0.48)
Under 9 42.55% (-4.07)
Over 10.5 35.36% (+2.90)
Under 10.5 64.64% (-2.91)

Porto BA Goals

Over 1.5 35.68% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.32% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 14.01% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 85.99% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.22% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.78% (+0.08)

Serra Branca Goals

Over 0.5 59.84% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 40.16% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 24.35% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 75.65% (+0.93)
Over 2.5 7.65% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 92.35% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 2.02% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.98% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Porto BA 42.61%
Draw 29.84%
Serra Branca 27.55%
Porto BA
1-0 @ 13.12% (+0.67)
2-1 @ 8.72% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 7.64% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 3.39% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.81% (+0.10)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 42.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.51% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 11.47% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.09)
Total : 29.84%
Serra Branca
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 27.55%

Form Data