Copa do Brasil
Feb 18, 2026 7.00pm

Porto BA vs Serra Branca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto BA

Serra Branca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto BA win with a probability of 42.61%. A draw has a probability of 29.84% and a win for Serra Branca has a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto BA win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.51%) , while for a Serra Branca win it is 0-1 (9.87%).

Result

Porto BA 42.61% (+1.04)
Draw 29.84% (-0.18)
Serra Branca 27.55% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.58% (-1.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.54% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 34.46% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 40.09% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 59.91% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 19.17% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 80.83% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 9.88% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 90.12% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Porto BA 29.17% (+1.22)
Draw 47.47% (+0.01)
Serra Branca 23.35% (-1.23)

Team To Score First

Porto BA 48.89% (+2.64)
No Goal 11.47% (+0.09)
Serra Branca 39.64% (-2.72)

Corners

Over 8 57.45% (+4.07)
Equal 8 11.24% (+0.15)
Under 8 31.31% (-4.20)
Over 9 46.04% (+3.61)
Equal 9 11.42% (+0.48)
Under 9 42.55% (-4.07)
Over 10.5 35.36% (+2.90)
Under 10.5 64.64% (-2.91)

Porto BA Goals

Over 1.5 35.68% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.32% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 14.01% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 85.99% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.22% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.78% (+0.08)

Serra Branca Goals

Over 0.5 59.84% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 40.16% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 24.35% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 75.65% (+0.93)
Over 2.5 7.65% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 92.35% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 2.02% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.98% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Porto BA 42.61%
Draw 29.84%
Serra Branca 27.55%
Porto BA
1-0 @ 13.12% (+0.67)
2-1 @ 8.72% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 7.64% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 3.39% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.81% (+0.10)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 42.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.51% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 11.47% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.09)
Total : 29.84%
Serra Branca
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 27.55%

Form Data