Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Campo La Caseta
  • Javier Miguel Macías 41' goal
  • goal Alejandro Fernández Álvarez 4'

Noja vs Ribadesella - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Noja

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 6.00pm
Ribadesella 1 - 0 Noja

Ribadesella

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 6.00pm
Ribadesella 1 - 0 Noja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Noja win with a probability of 53.53%. A win for Ribadesella has a probability of 25.65% and a draw has a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Noja win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Ribadesella win is 1-2 (6.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.53%).

Result

Noja 53.53% ▼ (-0.84)
Draw 20.82% ▼ (-0.72)
Ribadesella 25.65% ▲ (+1.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.3% ▲ (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.09% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 1.5 18.91% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 2.5 60.23% ▲ (+1.28)
Under 2.5 39.77% ▼ (-1.28)
Over 3.5 37.86% ▲ (+1.15)
Under 3.5 62.09% ▼ (-1.20)
Over 4.5 24.92% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 4.5 75.08% ▼ (-0.94)

First Half Winner

Noja 32.67% ▲ (+0.91)
Draw 46.35% ▼ (-1.18)
Ribadesella 20.98% ▲ (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Noja 56.08% ▼ (-1.15)
No Goal 4.92% ▼ (-0.21)
Ribadesella 39% ▲ (+1.36)

Corners

Over 8 49.96% ▲ (+1.82)
Equal 8 10.67% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 8 39.37% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 9 39.67% ▲ (+2.17)
Equal 9 10.29% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 9 50.04% ▼ (-1.82)
Over 10.5 30.47% ▲ (+2.28)
Under 10.5 69.53% ▼ (-2.29)

Noja Goals

Over 1.5 53.42% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 46.58% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 29.52% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 70.48% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 13.04% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 86.96% ▲ (+0.13)

Ribadesella Goals

Over 0.5 60.41% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 0.5 39.59% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 1.5 30.45% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 1.5 69.55% ▼ (-1.75)
Over 2.5 11.87% ▲ (+1.23)
Under 2.5 88.13% ▼ (-1.24)
Over 3.5 5% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 3.5 95% ▼ (-0.57)

Score analysis

Noja 53.54%
Draw 20.82%
Ribadesella 25.65%
Noja
2-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.28)
1-0 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.32)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 12.83% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 53.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.40)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 20.82%
Ribadesella
1-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.35)
0-1 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.33)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.30)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.60)
Total : 25.65%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Sep 26, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Oreyana