Copa del Rey
Sep 26, 2026 6.00pm
Estadio Oreyana

Ribadesella vs Noja - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ribadesella

Noja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Noja win with a probability of 43%. A win for Ribadesella has a probability of 35.37% and a draw has a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Noja win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Ribadesella win is 2-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.94%).

Result

Ribadesella 35.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 21.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Noja 43% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.89% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 16.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 64.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 35.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 42.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 57.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 27.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 72.22% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Ribadesella 27.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 46.94%
Noja 25.7% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Ribadesella 46.06% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 4.17%
Noja 49.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 39.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.95%
Under 8 49.34%
Over 9 30%
Equal 9 9.71%
Under 9 60.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 22.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 77.98% ▲ (+0.02)

Ribadesella Goals

Over 1.5 41.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 58.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 9.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.66% ▲ (+0.02)

Noja Goals

Over 0.5 74.3%
Under 0.5 25.7%
Over 1.5 47.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 52.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 25.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 11.49%
Under 3.5 88.51%

Score analysis

Ribadesella 35.36%
Draw 21.58%
Noja 43%
Ribadesella
2-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 35.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.58%
Noja
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.79%
0-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.85%
Total : 43%

Form Data