Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Club America had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.