Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jiangsu Suning win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jiangsu Suning win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.