Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.