Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Camp de Futbol Municipal d'Encamp
Ballkani

UE Santa Coloma
1 - 2
KF Ballkani

El Ghzaoui Darir (22')
El Ghzaoui Darir (81'), Da Cunha Costa Gomes (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Emerllahu (42' pen.), Karrica (90')
Thaci (28'), Smajli (61'), Ismajlgeci (90+3'), Kolici (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between UE Santa Coloma and KF Ballkani, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Breidablik 4-1 UE Santa Coloma
Thursday, July 14 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 KF Ballkani
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest UE Santa Coloma win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.

Result
UE Santa ColomaDrawKF Ballkani
27.49% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)25.75% (0.019000000000002 0.02)46.76% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-0.124 -0.12)51.97% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.107 -0.11)73.71% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
UE Santa Coloma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)33.6% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-0.141 -0.14)70.25% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)22.21% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)55.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    UE Santa Coloma 27.49%
    KF Ballkani 46.76%
    Draw 25.74%
UE Santa ColomaDrawKF Ballkani
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.49%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-2 @ 8.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.76%

How you voted: UE Santa Coloma vs KF Ballkani

UE Santa Coloma
30.2%
Draw
11.6%
KF Ballkani
58.1%
43