Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest UE Santa Coloma win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.