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Krasnodar
Champions League | Playoffs
Sep 22, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadion FK Krasnodar
PAOK
Krasnodar
2 - 1
PAOK
Claesson (39' pen.), Cabella (70')
Pantaleao (6'), Claesson (55'), Berg (88'), Olsson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pelkas (32')
Schwab (8'), Pereira (20'), Angel Crespo (76'), Ingi Ingason (90+1')
Coverage of the Champions League Playoffs clash between FC Krasnodar and PAOK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
FC KrasnodarDrawPAOK
44.38%27.47%28.15%
Both teams to score 47.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.88%58.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22%78.79%
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94%26.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9%61.1%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62%36.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84%73.16%
Score Analysis
    FC Krasnodar 44.37%
    PAOK 28.15%
    Draw 27.47%
FC KrasnodarDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.15%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2015 6pm
Group Stage
Krasnodar
2-1
PAOK
Ari (33'), Joaozinho (67' pen.)
Torbinski (62'), Petrov (84'), Ari (85')
Mak (91')
Costa (43')
Oct 22, 2015 8.05pm
Group Stage
PAOK
0-0
Krasnodar
Macedo Da Silva (63')
Macedo Da Silva (89')
rhs 2.0
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