Taca de Portugal | 5th Round

Dec 17, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Casa Pia
1-2
Torreense

Livolant (81' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jean (24'), Costinha (64')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal 5th Round clash between Casa Pia and Torreense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Torreense
Wednesday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Tondela vs. Casa Pia
Sunday, December 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Torreense

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Torreense
Wednesday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Torreense
36.45% ( 2.59)	26.62% ( 0.16)	36.92% ( -2.76)

Both teams to score 52.16% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2% (

-0.41)

52.79% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

-0.35)

74.42% (

0.35)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

1.39)

27.91% (

-1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

1.75)

63.53% (

-1.75)

Torreense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

-1.74)

27.63% (

1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82% (

-2.3)

63.17% (

2.29)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 36.45%

Torreense 36.92%

Draw 26.61%

Casa Pia	Draw	Torreense
1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.45%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.92%