FA Cup
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The City Ground
  • Fletcher Toll 39' goal
  • goal Sam Perry 35'
  • goal Miracle Okafor 76'

Cambridge City vs Alvechurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge City

All competitions

Alvechurch

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge City win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Alvechurch had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Alvechurch win was 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Cambridge City 39.45% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 22.75% ▼ (-0.34)
Alvechurch 37.8% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.69% ▲ (+0.63)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.4% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 16.6% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 2.5 63.68% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 2.5 36.32% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 3.5 41.61% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 3.5 58.39% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 4.5 26.82% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 4.5 73.18% ▼ (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Cambridge City 31.76% ▲ (+0.37)
Draw 39% ▲ (+0.61)
Alvechurch 29.24% ▼ (-0.97)

Team To Score First

Cambridge City 48.86% ▲ (+2.07)
No Goal 4.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Alvechurch 46.61% ▼ (-2.00)

Corners

Over 8 55.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.36% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 8 32.9% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 9 44.36% ▼ (-0.53)
Equal 9 11.39% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 9 44.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 33.84% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 10.5 66.16% ▲ (+0.90)

Cambridge City Goals

Over 1.5 44.97% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 55.03% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 2.5 22.07% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 77.93% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 9.11% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 90.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Alvechurch Goals

Over 0.5 72.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 27.92% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 44.18% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 55.82% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 2.5 21.8% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 78.2% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 9.36% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 90.64% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Cambridge City 39.46%
Draw 22.74%
Alvechurch 37.8%
Cambridge City
2-1 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 3.31%
Other @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 39.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 22.74%
Alvechurch
1-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.11)
0-1 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.32)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 37.8%