CAF Champions League | Group Stage

Jan 11, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Stade d'Abidjan
1 - 3
Al Ahly

Firmin Kore (26')
Gueye (36'), Meite (47'), Niampa (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ashour (53', 73', 90+5')
Attia (45+1')

Coverage of the CAF Champions League Group Stage clash between Stade d'Abidjan and Al Ahly.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stade d'Abidjan

Last Game: Orlando Pirates 3-0 Stade d'Abidjan
Saturday, January 4 at 4pm in CAF Champions League

Al Ahly

Last Game: CR Belouizdad 1-0 Al Ahly
Friday, January 3 at 7pm in CAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Stade d'Abidjan had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.7%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.04%), while for a Stade d'Abidjan win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Stade d'Abidjan	Draw	Al Ahly
14.64% ( 0.87)	24.98% ( 1)	60.37% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 36.98% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.82% (

-1.79)

62.17% (

1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.13% (

-1.33)

81.86% (

1.33)

Stade d'Abidjan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.63% (

0.23)

53.37% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.11% (

0.15)

86.88% (

-0.15)

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

-1.43)

20.69% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.72% (

-2.29)

53.28% (

2.29)

Score Analysis

Stade d'Abidjan 14.64%

Al Ahly 60.36%

Draw 24.98%

Stade d'Abidjan	Draw	Al Ahly
1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.11% Total : 14.64%	0-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.72) 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 17.39% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 13.7% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 7.2% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.36%