Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.