Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Fluminense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Fluminense |
| 32.87% | 28.85% | 38.28% |
| Both teams to score 45.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.49% | 61.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.63% | 81.37% |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% | 34.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% | 71.36% |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% | 31.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.59% | 67.41% |
| Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama 32.86%
Fluminense 38.28%
Draw 28.84%
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.23% Total : 32.86% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 12.58% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.05% Total : 38.28% |


