Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
