Belgian Cup
Aug 1, 2026 7.00pm
Stadion De Leunen

Geel vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Geel

Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Geel win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Lille has a probability of 35.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Geel win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Lille win is 1-2 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).

Result

Geel 41.21%
Draw 23.11% (-0.02)
Lille 35.68% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.84% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 20.16% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.65%
Under 2.5 41.35%
Over 3.5 37.11%
Under 3.5 62.89%
Over 4.5 23.27% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.73% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Geel 28.63%
Draw 45.7%
Lille 25.68% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Geel 47.62% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.09% (-0.01)
Lille 46.29%

Corners

Over 8 40.65%
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 47.83%
Over 9 30.38%
Equal 9 10.27%
Under 9 59.35%
Over 10.5 21.91%
Under 10.5 78.09%

Geel Goals

Over 1.5 43.71% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.29% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.36%
Under 2.5 78.64%
Over 3.5 8.59%
Under 3.5 91.41%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 68.13% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.87% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.36% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.64% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.52% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.48% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.66% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.34% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Geel 41.21%
Draw 23.11%
Lille 35.69%
Geel
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 8.3%
Total : 41.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.11%
Lille
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-1 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.8%
Other @ 7.37% (+0.01)
Total : 35.69%