Belgian Cup
Oct 17, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Yvan Georges
  • Steeven Assengue 31' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • goal Daan Heymans 17'
  • goal Rafiu Durosinmi 28'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • yellowcard 90'

Excelsior Virton vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Excelsior Virton

All competitions

Genk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Excelsior Virton had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Excelsior Virton win was 2-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Excelsior Virton 36.94% ▼ (-0.67)
Draw 24.95% ▲ (+0.28)
Genk 38.1% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.21% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.74% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 1.5 18.26% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 2.5 60.92% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 2.5 39.08% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 3.5 38.19% ▼ (-1.42)
Under 3.5 61.81% ▲ (+1.42)
Over 4.5 23.54% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 4.5 76.46% ▲ (+1.03)

First Half Winner

Excelsior Virton 29.6% ▼ (-1.55)
Draw 40.56% ▲ (+0.68)
Genk 29.84% ▲ (+0.88)

Team To Score First

Excelsior Virton 45.43% ▼ (-0.60)
No Goal 5.11% ▲ (+0.25)
Genk 49.46% ▲ (+0.36)

Corners

Over 8 52.52% ▼ (-1.14)
Equal 8 11.67% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 8 35.81% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 9 41.13% ▼ (-0.81)
Equal 9 11.39% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 9 47.48% ▲ (+1.14)
Over 10.5 30.88% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 10.5 69.12% ▲ (+0.44)

Excelsior Virton Goals

Over 1.5 43.49% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 1.5 56.51% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 2.5 20.56% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 2.5 79.44% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 3.5 8.81% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 91.19% ▲ (+0.50)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 72.69% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 0.5 27.31% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 1.5 43.14% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 56.86% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 19.81% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 80.19% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 7.25% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 92.75% ▲ (+0.32)

Score analysis

Excelsior Virton 36.94%
Draw 24.95%
Genk 38.11%
Excelsior Virton
2-1 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.39)
1-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.82%
Other @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.52)
Total : 36.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.95%
Genk
1-2 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.36)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.35)
Other @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.34)
Total : 38.11%