Smolevichi

1 - 4

Neman

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 72.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Smolevichi had a probability of 9.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.02%) and 0-3 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Smolevichi win it was 1-0 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.