Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 46.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 1-0 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.