Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for SV Ried had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest SV Ried win was 2-1 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.