Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 28
Nov 7, 2026 4.30pm
Gamla Ullevi

Orgryte vs Vasteras SK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orgryte

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 3.30pm
Elfsborg 2 - 1 Orgryte
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Noah Christoffersson

Vasteras SK

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 3.30pm
Vasteras 1 - 0 Brommapojkarna
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Orgryte has a probability of 28.8% and a draw has a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Orgryte win is 2-1 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Orgryte 28.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Vasteras SK 45.13% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 19.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.48% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Orgryte 23.49% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 41.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Vasteras SK 35.06% ▼ (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Orgryte 41.03%
No Goal 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Vasteras SK 52.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.17% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 29.22% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 9 47.2% ▼ (-0.27)
Equal 9 11.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 40.83% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 10.5 35.91% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 64.09% ▲ (+0.22)

Orgryte Goals

Over 1.5 33.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.98% ▼ (-0.04)

Vasteras SK Goals

Over 0.5 77.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 22.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 52.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 22.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Orgryte 28.8%
Draw 26.04%
Vasteras SK 45.14%
Orgryte
2-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.04%
Vasteras SK
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 5.1%
0-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 3.25%
Other @ 8.23%
Total : 45.14%

Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 14
Jul 24, 2026 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Iver Arena (Västerås)
  • Axel Sountonoma Taonsa 13' goal
  • Axel Sountonoma Taonsa 59' goal
  • yellowcard Owen Parker-Price 83'